By Henry R. Irving
The current economic
crisis is nothing if not complicated, and when Im confronted
with complex matters, its always worthwhile to try to simplify
things. I think Ive gone completely simple lately, probably
the result of reading too many crisis-ridden articles in the papers
and on-line, and Ive got it down to one basic question.
To get the economy out of its near-clinical depression, whether
nationally or at home in Cambridge, should we pull or should we
push?
Interestingly, the
push versus pull argument has a history in economics, which is
to say I didnt make it up for this column. Milton Friedman
compared monetary policy to a rope, saying you can pull on it
(i.e., slow down growth
tighten a knot) but you cant
push on it (i.e., jumpstart economic activity). And weve
all heard the expression, you cant push on a string,
right?
Speaking of crisis-ridden
articles, there was an op/ed in the Wall Street Journal several
weeks ago by Steny Hoyer, a Maryland Democrat and majority leader
of the U.S. House of Representatives. He wrote about dramatic
policies being developed in Washington to jump-start things including
legislation to provide jobs or job security, plans to address
the mortgage mess, and ways to get credit flowing to families
and businesses. It read like this kind gentleman was trying to
piece together a long lifeline that he could throw down to me
and then pull me out of the deep hole Im in
if the
line held, that is.
Im no physicist,
but I think the general rule is that pushing is easier than pulling.
You get more leverage by pushing. If my old Volvo were stuck in
a Cambridge snowdrift I wouldnt dream of asking some poor
passerby for a pull. Yet neighbors come out of the woodwork when
I need a push. Even poor Sisyphus has the wherewithal to push
the rock up the hill.
Days later I came across
an article on economist and Nobel Laureate Robert Mundell that
conveyed his three-step prescription for what ails us: stabilize
the dollar, slash the corporate tax rate, and declare a two-year
capital-gains tax holiday. Hes saying that leaving money
in the private economy is the fastest way to fund and fuel economic
growth locally and nationally. Its the kind of fiscal policy
that in the past has been a much appreciated wind at our backs,
providing a welcome push onward and upward. Look back to the days
of JFK and Ronald Reagan. I dont know why it wouldnt
work again today
if it were implemented, that is.
Leaving money in the
private economy means more resources for the individual risk-takers
who historically have been the engines of economic growth. Who
are these risk-takers? I suggest that everyone reading this column
counts as one. Not everyone may provide the same kick to the economy,
but each of us does our part day-to-day to push the Cambridge
economy forward, as long as we have the necessary resources in
our wallets.
Im as aware as
anyone that our fair city and our country are confronting a very
complex and serious crisis. Its a good question if anyone
knows when and why it will end, but pretty much everyone agrees
on one thing liquidity is crucial. My wallets not
got enough of it. Cambridges wallet isnt big enough.
Sufficient liquidity means government has an important role to
play and I dont think theres any way around it. Like
any good actor, though, the government has to learn its role,
and from my seat in the theatre, it seems like were still
in rehearsal and its hard to tell who is the director.
Our government is throwing
lifelines everywhere, hoping that when parts of the economy grab
hold it will have the traction to pull them up. In the meantime,
the government is not getting much push from below, from the potential
risk-takers in towns and cities like Cambridge. In fact, its
hardly trying. If anything, its lack of attention to stabilizing
the dollar, slashing corporate taxes, and temporarily zeroing-out
capital-gains taxes is making life worse.
What is going on? Is
it a control thing, a lack of trust in the people? Does the government
think it can pull the full weight of the nation up by itself?
Does it want to take all the credit when this particular crisis
is behind us? It seems noticeably ahistorical to me. Ingrained
in every American community, even Cambridge, is a capitalist tradition.
Its not perfect, but its there and its the best
thing going. Within it is
Americas most
dynamic force: the energy and enthusiasm of the individual pushing
the way forward. Give it more room!
Ultimately, isnt
it in every administrations interest to do everything it
can to give incentives to individuals? Say things get really bad
a
real worst case scenario
and were down to the last
man standing. If hes from government, hell come up
short. Now think of this poor fellow on a cold winter night in
Cambridge with his car stuck in the snow. Therell be no
lifelines from government and hell be sad when no neighbors
come out to give him a push.
Henry R Irving is
the chairman of the Cambridge Republican City Committee and lives
on Bigelow Street.